Simple EPA

Expected Points Added (EPA) is the difference in Expected Points (EP) before and after a play. It measures the absolute value a play created relative to historical scoring probability.

Assumptions

This tool is a simplified demonstrator. To calculate real EPA, you need a massive historical database to determine the exact EP value for every field position, down, distance, and time remaining scenario.

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EP (Before Play)

EP (After Play)

Expected Points Added

+1.10

JavaScript Required

Please enable JavaScript. If a play results in better field position (higher EP), the EPA is positive. If it results in a turnover or loss of yardage, EPA is negative.